NATO To Discuss Afghanistan, Missile Defense, And Its Own Future

NATO leaders meet in Chicago this weekend for a summit that will focus largely on the alliance's combat-force withdrawal from Afghanistan and its postmilitary role. But contentious plans for a European missile-defense system and the alliance's future vision will also be up for discussion.

CHICAGO -- The last time NATO leaders gathered for a summit, in Lisbon in 2010, they agreed to halt combat operations in Afghanistan by the end of 2014 and hand off security responsibilities to Afghan forces.

When they meet again this week in Chicago, their main goal will be to figure out how to make that happen.

The discussion among the alliance's 28 members will take place against the backdrop of shrinking defense budgets and economic hardship in much of Europe, and hard questions over NATO's future role in an increasingly complex global security landscape.

NATO Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen said last week that he fully expected NATO to continue training, advising, and assisting Afghan security forces, and sees the postconflict operation as "a new mission with a new role."

That new mission is expected to cost $4 billion annually, and Rasmussen expects leaders at the summit to firm up their financial commitments.

"In Chicago, we will also start to spell out our commitment to help finance the Afghan security forces of the future as part of an international community effort and together with the Afghans themselves," Rasmussen said. "We all have a stake in maintaining the gains we have made together with such great investment and sacrifices."

Stampede For The Door?

Most allies are planning a gradual withdrawal of combat forces between now and the end of 2014, but there are fears that some may decide to follow the lead of French President Francois Hollande, who has promised to withdraw French forces from Afghanistan by the end of this year.

Afghan National Army soldiers raise their national flag next to the French flag during a transition ceremony at a base in Afghanistan in April.
??

Former U.S. diplomat Heather Conley, who is now director of the Europe Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), says she doesn't foresee discussion of major adjustments to the exit strategy forged in Lisbon two years ago. But she acknowledges that the matter isn't entirely settled.

"I think what you're going to see is a clear reaffirmation of the transition strategy until 2014. A lot of questions still remain about...Hollande's removal of French forces by the end of this year, whether that will have any domino effect, if you will, on other European or coalition partners deciding to transition a little earlier than previously anticipated," Conley notes, "but getting to that end state and furthering the post-2014 national force will be very, very important."

??In Afghanistan, officials are adopting a wait-and-see attitude. A spokesman for President Hamid Karzai's government, Siamak Herawi, said the goal of the Afghan delegation in Chicago was to return home with assurances that the NATO allies won't abandon the fragile country.

"We hope that with the support for the programs and [proposals] that the Afghan delegation will present in the meeting, there will be a long-term guarantee for peace and stability in Afghanistan so that Afghan people can have hope in the future," Herawi said.

White House national security adviser Tom Donilon, told reporters in a presummit briefing that Obama would hold a private meeting on May 20 with Karzai in Chicago before the summit begins in order to lay the ground for wider discussions on the transition.

NATO's Future In Discussion

Although Afghanistan will dominate the summit agenda, NATO leaders will also discuss European missile defense, which has long been a point of contention with Moscow. Russian President Vladimir Putin's decision to skip the summit is being attributed to his opposition to specific aspects of the shield.

Rasmussen said progress in developing the system will be announced at the summit. "In Chicago, we will declare an interim capability. This is only a first step, but it is significant," he said.

"We are acquiring allied ground surveillance, which uses drones to provide crucial intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance information to our forces. This will help fill a gap shown by our operations in Libya and Afghanistan."

NATO-hopeful Georgia, which has sent troops to both Iraq and Afghanistan, looks set to be disappointed in Chicago.
??

Also up for discussion is the future role of the 63-year-old alliance, which is in the midst of reshaping itself in the face of rising global threats and austerity pressures on military spending in Europe.

Leaders plan to endorse a strategy of "smart defense" -- an approach to dealing with 21st-century challenges such as the quickly shifting political situation in the Middle East and China's formidable strength. According to Stephane Abrial, the NATO supreme allied commander for transformation, the strategy involves more collaboration on military education, training, and exercises, and the application of new technologies.

What won't be on the Chicago agenda is enlargement, which means aspirant countries Georgia, Macedonia, Bosnia-Herzegovina, and Montenegro will go home empty-handed.

Once a top priority for NATO, expansion is now far down on the list of priorities, in part because of the alliance's current identity crisis but also because of objections by key members such as Germany.

Conley of the CSIS says the fact that countries are waiting in the wings to join is "very difficult" for NATO, which has always had an open-door policy. She believes that policy will be reinforced in Chicago, but little more will be offered because "there's an increasing level of frustration that the NATO enlargement strategy has run out of strategic vision."


Copyright (c) RFE/RL, Inc. Reprinted with the permission of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.

Comments

Spero News
 

Disney drops 'Good Luck Charlie'

Most popular show on television in its time-slot for youth under 15.

Conference to focus on advances for Paraguayan electronic media

An international conference on digital migration will take place in Paraguay on July 4, just as the South American country concludes an agreement with El Salvador to share electronic content.

Mexico: Food prices sky-rocket

Tomatoes are going for $5.77 per kilo in Mexico.

On Heaven and Earth: an excerpt

Cardinal Jorge Bergoglio, before his election to the papacy as Francis, conversed with Rabbi Abraham Skorka on the commonalities of Jewish and Catholic faith.

Video of the Day

Chicago mayor's son assaulted in 'world class city'

Legislators have questioned the veracity of statistics cited by Mayor Rahm Emanuel concerning a alleged drop in crime in Chicago.

This page took 0.1445seconds to load