World marketed energy consumption is projected to grow by 57 percent between 2004 and 2030, according to a new report released Monday by the Energy Information Administration (EIA).
According to the EIA report, the most rapid growth in energy demand for nations outside the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), especially in non-OECD Asia, where strong projected economic growth drives the increase in energy use.
Global energy demand grows despite the relatively high world oil and natural gas prices in the report.
However, rising oil prices dampen growth in demand for petroleum and other liquids fuels after 2015 and, as a result, reducing their share of overall energy use from 38 percent in 2004 to a projected 34 percent in 2030.
In contrast, the energy shares of natural gas, coal, and renewable energy sources are expected to grow over this period.
Liquids consumption is still expected to grow strongly, however, reaching 118 million barrels per day in 2030.
The United States, China, and India together account for nearly half of the projected growth in world liquids use.
To meet the increment in world liquids demand in the reference case, supply in 2030 is projected to be 35 million barrels oil equivalent per day higher than the 2004 level of 83 million barrels per day.
Conventional resources account for about 27 million barrels per day of this increase, with a projected 21 million barrels per day increase in production by members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and a 6 million barrels per day increase in non-OPEC countries.
Production from unconventional resources (including biofuels, coal-to-liquids, and gas-to-liquids)increases by nearly 8 million barrels per day and accounts for 9 percent of total world liquids supply in 2030.
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