Donald Trump says that he is poised to “run the table” should he win the South Carolina GOP primary on Feb. 20. "If we win in South Carolina, we feel we could run the table," Trump told supporters in Walterboro, S.C. Trump leads the polls in the Palmetto State and most national surveys by big margins. Trump may have history on his side.
 
Gov. Nikki Haley’s endorsement of Rubio, seconded by Sen. Tim Scott, has not made a noticeable dent in support for Trump. “We make presidents,” Haley said as she alluded to her state’s history of choosing eventual Republican nominees. South Carolina Republicans have long prided themselves on picking the nominee of their party.
 
Ronald Reagan won in 1980, George H.W. Bush won in 1988, Robert Dole won in 1996, George W. Bush won in 2000, and John McCain won in 2008. The only recent exception was in 2012: Newt Gingrich won the primary, but quickly fell from favor as the year advanced.
 
Real Clear Politics averaged several polls in advance of the primary and showed that Trump is garnering 33.5 percent of likely Republican voters. This is a huge margin over Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, who in at 17.6 percent and 17.1 percent, respectively. Bush got 10.4, while John Kasich got 9.6.
 
And a Fox News poll, released today, showed similar results. In a national poll of registered voters, Trump leads with 36 percent among self-identified Republicans. Ted Cruz got 19 percent and Marco Rubio received 15 percent. Jeb Bush and Ben Carson get nine percent a piece, and John Kasich gets eight percent. 
 
White evangelical Christians voting in the GOP primary favor Trump (28 percent) and Cruz (26 percent) over Rubio (15 percent) and Carson (15 percent). Cruz has a one-point lead over Trump among “very” conservative voters (29-28 percent).  16 percent back Rubio.

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Spero News writer Martin Barillas is a former US diplomat, who also worked as a democracy advocate and election observer in Latin America. His first novel 'Shaken Earth', is available at Amazon.

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